Number of the day. The probability of the championship of “Zenith” – 99%

Zenit was the first to concede in the away match against Loko – Maxim Glushenkov scored in the 26th minute after re-passing Zenit in his penalty area. However, Semak’s team managed to fix everything: even before the break, Vendel equalized, and in the 77th minute Cassierra finally scored . Winning goal.

2:1 – and Zenit is getting closer to the fifth title in a row.

The supercomputer is confident in the championship of “Zenith”

The FiveThirtyEight statistical model does not believe in competition in the RPL at all: Zenit’s championship is estimated at 99%.

The maximum chances of the rest are negligible – less than 1%.

Let us briefly recall what FiveThirtyEight is. The model simulates championship matches based on the rating of teams, which is calculated according to a complex scheme ( you can read more about it here ): it takes into account the results of past years, the cost of the squad, xG, and even tournament motivation. 

In the real table, Zenit is already 10 points ahead

8 rounds before the finish of the RPL, the leadership of Zenit is undeniable – 10 points from Rostov. Valery Karpin’s team has a game in hand – on Monday with Orenburg. But even a potential 7-point advantage looks solid.

Spartak and CSKA are even further behind – 12 and 13 points behind.

In the next round, Zenit is just playing on the road with Rostov – potentially the key game of the season. Semak’s team Dynamo (home), Wings (away), Spartak (h), Krasnodar (h), Orenburg (d), Sochi (d) and Fakel are next (e).